Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)


	Nova Iguaçu		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.6	2.65
	2.91	2.71	2.64
	3.01	2.54	2.76	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.5
	2.84	2.69	2.57
	2.96	2.96	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.96)	2.69 ↓ (2.96)	2.58 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
31.3%

Draw
33.6%

EC Noroeste
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Nova Iguaçu - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Lucas Cruz ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Nova Iguaçu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Noroeste is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Velo Clube - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Nova Iguaçu - Velo Clube	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	EC Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTLT
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Maricá - EC Noroeste	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	EC Noroeste - Maricá	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	EC Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	EC Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	1:1

Nova Iguaçu - EC Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide