Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Novara		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.8	3.1
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.45	2.75	2.95
	2.42	2.75	2.95
	2.5	2.82	3.11
	2.4	3.2	2.88
	2.49	2.91	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.05)	2.89 ↓ (3.19)	2.98 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
37.8%

Draw
31.6%

Carrarese
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Novara - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Novara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.20	Livorno - Novara	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Novara - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
12.10.20	Alessandria - Novara	1:2 ✺
07.10.20	Novara - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Novara - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.20	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Lecco - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Carrarese - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Carrarese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Pro Sesto - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.10.19	Novara - Carrarese	2:1
10.02.19	Novara - Carrarese	1:2
14.10.18	Carrarese - Novara	4:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Verona - Carrarese	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺

Novara - Carrarese