Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)


	Novara		Derthona

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.2
	1.65	3.8	4.2
	1.64	3.8	4.17
	1.67	3.75	4
	1.64	3.7	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	3.73 ↑ (3.46)	4.28 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
54.7%

Draw
24.2%

Derthona
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Novara - Derthona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Novara is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for

Novara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

HSL Derthona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Novara to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.05.22	Chieri - Novara	1:2 ✺
01.05.22	Gozzano - Novara	0:0 ✺
27.04.22	Novara - Fossano	4:0 ✺
24.04.22	Lavagnese - Novara	0:4 ✺
14.04.22	Novara - PDHAE	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.05.22	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	2:5 ✺
01.05.22	Derthona - Ticino	1:2 ✺
27.04.22	Sestri Levante - Derthona	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Derthona - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Ligorna - Derthona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
02.03.22	Derthona - Novara	1:1

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