Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Lecco		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.98	3.45
	2.28	2.83	3.66
	2.23	2.82	3.52	Watch
	2.15	2.63	3.4
	2.2	2.75	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.1)	2.8 ↓ (3.04)	3.51 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
41.4%

Draw
32.6%

Novara
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

31.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Lecco - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 4. Marrone L. 41. Romani L. 11. Urso O. 21. Metlika A. 6. Zanellato N. 80. Kritta M. 25. Sipos L. 97. Duca E. 51. Konate I.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 15. Khailoti O. 70. Valdesi A. 99. Basso G. 19. Collodel R. 72. Agyemang G. . Ledonne N. 11. Morosini L. 40. da Graca C.
Substitutes
14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 10. Furrer G. . Mallamo A. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 99. Parker S. 17. Pellegrino G. 45. Rizzo M. 8. Voltan D.	9. Alberti T. 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 8. Di Cosmo L. 10. Donadio C. 7. Lanini E. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Konate I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Battistini M. 🟨,
60', Kritta M. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
61', Sipos L. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
62', Khailoti O. 🟨,
69', Valdesi A. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
69', Morosini L. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
70', Urso O. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
73', Metlika A. 🟨,
81', Basso G. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
87', Zanellato N. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
87', Duca E. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
87', da Graca C. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
87', Ledonne N. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.

Lecco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Novara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lecco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Novara - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.49%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lecco	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lecco - Renate	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Brescia - Lecco	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lecco - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lecco - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTT
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.25	Novara - Lecco	1:0
17.01.25	Lecco - Novara	1:1
16.09.24	Novara - Lecco	0:0
11.02.23	Lecco - Novara	3:1
16.10.22	Novara - Lecco	1:2
07.03.21	Novara - Lecco	3:0
11.11.20	Lecco - Novara	1:0

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