Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 30

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Sangiuliano City Nova		Novara

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.31	3	2.8
	2.26	3.25	2.86
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.32	3.18	2.93	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.45)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	2.86 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sangiuliano City Nova
39.5%

Draw
28.9%

Novara
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sangiuliano City Nova - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Sangiuliano City Nova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novara is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sangiuliano City Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sangiuliano City Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
25.02.23	Vicenza Virtus - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Pergolettese - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Lecco	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Piacenza - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLTWW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
26.02.23	Novara - Padova	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Novara - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Lecco - Novara	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
01.02.23	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.22	Novara - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.05.22	Novara - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1

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