Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Novara		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.67
	2.12	3.15	3.36	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.16	3.15	3.47	Watch
	2.16	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3.07 ↓ (3.21)	3.39 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
42.8%

Draw
30%

AlbinoLeffe
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Novara - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). AlbinoLeffe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AlbinoLeffe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 15. Khailoti O. 71. D'Alessio L. 19. Collodel R. 99. Basso G. 72. Agyemang G. 11. Ledonne N. 36. Arboscello R. 9. Alberti T.	12. Baldi G. (G) 33. Sciacca G. 4. Potop S. (C) 3. Giannini E. 2. Barba B. 19. Agostinelli M. 6. Astrologo A. 18. Parlati S. 20. Ambrosini M. 8. Lombardi A. 9. Sorrentino L.
Substitutes
5. Bertoncini D. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 20. da Graca C. 17. Dell'Erba D. 7. Lanini E. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J.	21. Angeloni M. 45. Borghi E. 17. Ciko S. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 22. Facchetti L. (G) 16. Franchini F. 5. Mandelli A. 11. Sali G. 23. Sottini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Basso G. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Lombardi A. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Parlati S. 🟨,
40', Barba B. ↓, Ciko S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Agostinelli M. ↓, Mandelli A. ↑,
48', Ciko S. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Khailoti O. ⚽,
58', Lombardi A. 🟨,
59', Lombardi A. ↓, Sali G. ↑,
59', Arboscello R. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
62', Baldi G. 🟨,
66', Ranieri R. 🟨,
71', Khailoti O. 🟨,
72', Alberti T. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
79', Ciko S. ↓, Sottini E. ↑,
80', Cannavaro A. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Parlati S. ⚽,
88', Ledonne N. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
90+5', Khailoti O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

AlbinoLeffe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Novara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Novara won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.15%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.26	Novara - Brescia	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Novara - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Trento - Novara	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Novara - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWTT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Cittadella - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:2
02.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	1:1
19.10.24	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	2:0
10.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	0:0
04.11.23	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	0:3
05.02.23	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	1:2
09.10.22	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:1

Novara - AlbinoLeffe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide