Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara) 🌤️ ...


	Novara		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.6	3.55	4.9
	1.75	3.35	4
	1.74	3.52	4.46
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.71	3.54	4.45	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.48 ↑ (2.85)	4.32 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
52.9%

Draw
26.1%

Sangiuliano City Nova
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

32.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novara's performance.

Sangiuliano City Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Novara - Sangiuliano City Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: Novara will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Novara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sangiuliano City Nova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Novara have a series of guest games.

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
23.10.22	Padova - Novara	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Pro Sesto - Novara	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Novara - Lecco	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Alessandria - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
23.10.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
19.10.22	FeralpiSalò - Sangiuliano City Nova	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Lecco - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Pergolettese - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
29.05.22	Novara - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺

Novara - Sangiuliano City Nova