Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)


	Mantova		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.48	2.89	2.92
	2.38	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3.28	2.76	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.77 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
38%

Draw
29.3%

Piacenza
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piacenza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piacenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mantova - Piacenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mantova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Piacenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mantova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Mantova - Renate	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.22	Triestina - Mantova	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Mantova - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Vicenza Virtus - Mantova	2:1 ✺
17.10.22	Mantova - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLW
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.22	Piacenza - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.22	Piacenza - Padova	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Trento - Piacenza	2:2 ✺
19.10.22	Piacenza - Renate	2:3 ✺
16.10.22	Pro Vercelli - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.01.22	Piacenza - Mantova	1:0
26.09.21	Mantova - Piacenza	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.09.21	Piacenza - Mantova	2:1

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