Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 33

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Novara		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.05
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.1	2.65	2.25
	3.52	3.01	2.1
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.5	3.13	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.88)	2.96 ↑ (2.68)	2.11 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
26.8%

Draw
30.5%

Pordenone
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

33.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

35.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pordenone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pordenone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Novara - Pordenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Novara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pordenone is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pordenone will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Novara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.23	Pro Patria - Novara	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Novara - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Novara	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Novara - Padova	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Novara - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLL
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.23	Pordenone - Piacenza	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Lecco - Pordenone	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Pordenone - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
27.02.23	FeralpiSalò - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Trento - Pordenone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.11.22	Pordenone - Novara	1:0
25.04.15	Pordenone - Novara	1:1
13.12.14	Novara - Pordenone	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺

Novara - Pordenone