Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Portuguesa Santista		Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.4
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.95	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.79	3.15	2.29
	2.94	3.11	2.44
	2.88	3.1	2.38
	2.95	3.16	2.44
	3	3.2	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.16)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
32.1%

Draw
29.3%

Caxias
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portuguesa Santista - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Portuguesa Santista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
21.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - São Bento	5:5 ✺
17.02.24	Piracicaba - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTL
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Caxias - Avenida	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Caxias - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
08.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWT

Portuguesa Santista - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide