Match Info

FNL - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Ufa		Rotor

	1	X	2
	3.17	3	2.65
	3.04	2.94	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.53)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)	2.58 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
30.8%

Draw
32.2%

Rotor
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

31.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

31.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ufa - Rotor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (C) 14. Agapov I. 23. Akhatov D. 96. Baranovsky A. 8. Isaev S. 15. Khabalov A. 5. Kutin D. 70. Ortiz D. 7. Perchenok A. 79. Troyanov K. 71. Yakuev M.	13. Chagrov N. (G) 22. Aliev S. 73. Aznaurov I. 15. Danilkin E. 18. Kaynov M. 34. Khramtsov M. 2. Korotkov A. 6. Makarov S. (C) 97. Pokidyshev N. 69. Rodionov I. 7. Safronov I.
Substitutes
88. Ageyan M. 50. Khomukha I. 12. Lipovoy D. 1. Lomaev I. (G) 19. Mayorov E. 11. Minatulaev O. 24. Mrzljak F. 17. Ozmanov D. 97. Polesovshchikov A.	77. Eldarushev A. 37. Fomin D. 70. Khokhlachev A. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 17. Shilnikov G. 50. Sugrobov V. (G) 5. Troshechkin A. 90. Tsipushtanov M.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Parfenov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
29', Perchenok A. 🟨,
30', Rodionov I. 🟨,
37', Agapov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Khramtsov M. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
60', Akhatov D. ↓, Ageyan M. ↑,
62', Makarov S. ↓, Troshechkin A. ↑,
62', Danilkin E. 🟨,
63', Aznaurov I. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
69', Shilnikov G. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Ortiz D. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Rodionov I. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
89', Yakuev M. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
90+4', Isaev S. ↓, Khomukha I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 3.

Ufa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rotor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.5:0.3).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

R. Volgograd: 1.42% Ufa: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
03.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa	SKA Khabarovsk Awarded ✺
26.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Ufa	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ural - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 ?LLWT
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
04.05.26	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rotor	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rotor - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
10.08.25	Rotor - Ufa	1:0
24.05.25	Rotor - Ufa	0:2
27.10.24	Ufa - Rotor	2:0
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.24	Ufa - Rotor	0:0
23.09.23	Ufa - Rotor	3:0
30.07.23	Rotor - Ufa	1:1
Russian Premier League
12.12.20	Rotor - Ufa	1:0

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