Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Nueva Chicago		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.7	3.3	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.44	2.8	3.2	Watch
	2.61	2.79	3.24
	2.55	2.75	3.23
	2.38	2.8	3.2
	2.48	2.76	3.16	Watch
	2.44	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)	3.2 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
37.4%

Draw
33.6%

Estudiantes de Caseros
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 25%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Callegari S. (C) 10. Cortes B. 9. Maggi I. 11. Molinas I. A. 4. Motroni J. 5. Muscia G. 3. Rizzi F. 7. Rodriguez I. 6. Rodriguez J. 8. Rodriguez T.	1. Budino M. (G) 7. Berterame G. 5. Caceres F. 10. Correa J. (C) 8. Degregorio B. 3. Lusnig L. 6. Monzon S. 2. Ortiz N. D. 11. Ramirez S. 9. Rostagno D. 4. Silva H.
Substitutes
19. Almaraz A. 13. Arroyo D. 20. Beltramone E. 12. Diaz L. (G) 17. Fernandez G. 14. Soto G. 16. Toloza B. 18. Villalba R. 15. Zalazar C.	13. Benitez J. 14. Borges S. 19. Farioli B. 20. Paz A. 18. Pereyra V. 15. Quinteros F. 17. Squie T. 16. Vargas M. 12. Vila F. (G)
Coaches
Perazzo W	Montenegro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Silva H. 🟨,
14', Callegari S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Maggi I. ⚽,
22', Maggi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lusnig L. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Motroni J. ⚽,
57', Silva H. ↓, Pereyra V. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Rostagno D. ⚽,
71', Rizzi F. 🟨,
71', Maggi I. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
72', Degregorio B. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
74', Rizzi F. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
78', Caceres F. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
87', Molinas I. A. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
90+1', Pereyra V. 🟨,
90+1', Correa J. 🟨,
90+2', Correa J. 🟨,
90+5', Cortes B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Central Norte - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLTWL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago	1:0
12.11.21	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0
17.07.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago	1:1
09.11.19	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1

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