Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.56	3.35	5.2
	1.67	3.53	5.48
	1.7	3.44	5.1
	1.68	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.51)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	4.98 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Numancia
54.9%

Draw
26.9%

Calahorra
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

26.9%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

16%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Numancia's form might have worsened.

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calahorra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Numancia - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Numancia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Calahorra has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Alcoyano - Numancia	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Numancia - Amorebieta	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	SD Logroñés - Numancia	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Numancia - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTWL
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Calahorra - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Calahorra - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Intercity - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Calahorra - Cornellà	2:3 ✺
18.12.22	Eldense - Calahorra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Calahorra - Numancia	0:0

Upcoming Matches