Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.05	3	3.2
	2	3.05	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.26	3.03	3.43
	2.15	3.18	3.38
	2.08	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)	3.41 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
43.5%

Draw
29.8%

Amorebieta
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

33.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

33.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Numancia - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.01.23	SD Logroñés - Numancia	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Numancia - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Cornellà - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Numancia - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.01.23	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Real Murcia - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Portugalete - Amorebieta	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	Amorebieta - Intercity	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Eldense - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.10.22	Amorebieta - Numancia	1:2
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Amorebieta - Numancia	1:1

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