Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)


	Alcoyano		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.35	2.7	3.2
	2.32	2.8	3.1
	2.39	2.8	3.47
	2.39	2.77	3.38
	2.34	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.6)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
39.1%

Draw
32.7%

Numancia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

32.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Alcoyano - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.01.23	Sabadell - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Alcoyano - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	La Nucía - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Intercity - Alcoyano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.01.23	Numancia - Amorebieta	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	SD Logroñés - Numancia	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Numancia - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Cornellà - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.09.22	Numancia - Alcoyano	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.12	Numancia - Alcoyano	2:0

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