Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Real Oviedo B

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.7
	1.83	3.46	3.97	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.88	3.22	3.9
	1.8	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	3.87 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
48.5%

Draw
28%

Real Oviedo B
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Numancia - Real Oviedo B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Gutierrez C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Delgado J. ⚽,
62', Menendez D. 🟥,
79', 1 - 2, Jony ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Oviedo B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Numancia is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo B	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Salamanca - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.03.21	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	4:1
21.11.20	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0

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