Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Meridiano


	Numancia		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.7	1.57	Watch
	5.4	3.95	1.65
	5.61	3.77	1.6
	5.8	3.94	1.57	Watch
	5	3.5	1.62	Watch
	5.6	3.8	1.69	Watch
	5.33	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.89)	3.74 ↑ (3.55)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
17.1%

Draw
25%

Mallorca
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

26.9%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Numancia - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: Mallorca will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mallorca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abad M. (G) 5. De Frutos O. 16. Gutierrez C. (C) 20. Danese F. 22. Ruiz F. 2. Sanchez M. 8. Gning M. 6. Lucas Rey N. 7. Matos H. 9. Jony 18. Gonzalez B.	25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 27. Lopez D. 4. Kumbulla M. 26. Salhi I. 6. Sanchez A. 8. Morlanes M. 20. Torre P. 11. Asano T. 9. Prats A. (C) 19. Llabres J.
Substitutes
3. Bonilla J. 23. Buyla J. 21. Delgado C. 17. Garcia A. 14. Gil A. 26. Godson C. 31. Ishizuka D. 13. Jimenez J. (G) 10. Juancho 27. Neves A. 4. Oliveira I.	13. Bergstrom L. (G) 10. Darder S. 30. Domenech M. 18. Joseph M. 5. Mascarell O. 7. Muriqi V. . Orejuela L. 21. Raillo A. . Samu Costa 24. Valjent M. 17. Virgili J.
Coaches
Rodriguez A.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Llabres J. ⚽, Asano T. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Prats A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Jony ⚽, Matos H. (A),
63', Danese F. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Prats A. (Pen),
66', Kumbulla M. ↓, Valjent M. ↑,
66', Asano T. ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
70', Ruiz F. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
71', Sanchez M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
71', Gonzalez B. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
71', Morlanes M. 🟨,
72', Lucas Rey N. 🟨,
74', Torre P. 🟨,
75', 2 - 3, Danese F. ⚽, Gning M. (A),
77', Torre P. ↓, Samu Costa ↑,
77', Morlanes M. ↓, Mascarell O. ↑,
81', De Frutos O. 🟨,
82', De Frutos O. ↓, Delgado C. ↑,
82', Matos H. ↓, Juancho ↑,
82', Llabres J. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2.

Numancia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mallorca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mallorca is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Numancia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Numancia - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTW
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Betis - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlètic Sant Just - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.19	Numancia - Mallorca	1:1
25.11.18	Mallorca - Numancia	1:0
28.05.17	Mallorca - Numancia	0:0
18.12.16	Numancia - Mallorca	3:1
14.02.16	Numancia - Mallorca	2:0
13.09.15	Mallorca - Numancia	0:0
16.05.15	Numancia - Mallorca	1:2

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