Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	St Ives Town		Nuneaton Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.2
	1.66	3.75	4.33
	1.94	4.25	3.1
	1.93	4.25	3.12
	1.89	3.68	3.43
	1.78	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.44)	3.91 ↑ (3.56)	3.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Ives Town
50%

Draw
23.6%

Nuneaton Town
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Ives Town's performance.

Nuneaton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuneaton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Ives Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuneaton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

St Ives Town - Nuneaton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St Ives will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Ives won 3.

Recent matches St Ives is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nuneaton Town is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nuneaton Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St Ives is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches St Ives won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams St Ives won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.01.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	5:0 ✺
01.01.24	Stamford - St Ives Town	4:2 ✺
26.12.23	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	6:0 ✺
23.12.23	Leamington - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL
- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.01.24	Nuneaton Town - Hitchin Town	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Leamington - Nuneaton Town	1:1 ✺
30.12.23	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Sudbury Town - Nuneaton Town	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.08.23	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	0:1
22.04.23	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	3:0
05.11.22	St Ives Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2
19.03.22	St Ives Town - Nuneaton Town	3:2
04.01.22	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	1:2
20.10.20	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	6:2
21.12.19	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	4:0

St Ives Town - Nuneaton Town