Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.35	6.7
	1.4	4.66	8.75
	1.4	4.43	6.91	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.4	4.05	7.11	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.88)	4.3 ↑ (3.65)	7.41 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
66.1%

Draw
21.4%

Picerno
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.9%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuova Cosenza's performance.

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Picerno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuova Cosenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Picerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nuova Cosenza - Picerno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 7. Cannavo K. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 33. Ferrara A. 28. Kouan C. 77. Langella C. 10. Garritano L. (C) 16. Ricciardi M. 30. Mazzocchi S. 9. Beretta G.	16. Marcone R. (G) 20. Gemignani A. 4. Frison F. 3. Bellodi G. 63. Pistolesi F. 25. Djibril M. 30. Bianchi S. 99. Pugliese S. 10. Maiorino P. 77. Cardoni K. 9. Santarcangelo A.
Substitutes
23. Achour S. 3. Barone A. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 6. Dalle Mura C. 11. D'Orazio T. 61. Falbo 34. Florenzi A. 71. Mazzulla A. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D. 32. Rocco A. 44. Silvestri T.	27. Baldassin L. 12. Esposito A. (G) 8. Graziani V. 2. Perri M. 32. Ragone V. 21. Salvo G. 1. Summa E. (G) 5. Veltri A. 14. Vimercati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Pugliese S. 🟨,
37', Langella C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Florenzi A. ↑,
58', Maiorino P. 🟨,
63', Garritano L. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
63', Beretta G. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
72', Maiorino P. ↓, Veltri A. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Achour S. ⚽,
86', Bianchi S. ↓, Graziani V. ↑,
89', Pistolesi F. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
90', Ferrara A. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
90+2', Graziani V. 🟨,
90+3', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
90+6', Kouan C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cosenza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Picerno is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cosenza is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Benevento	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Latina - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Altamura - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWT
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
29.11.25	Picerno - Catania	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Monopoli - Picerno	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Picerno - Siracusa	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Trapani - Picerno	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Picerno - Cavese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLT

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