Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Trapani		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.1	2.32
	3.08	3.14	2.36
	2.94	3.22	2.29	Watch
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.02	2.98	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.52)	3.06 ↓ (3.41)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
30.4%

Draw
30%

Nuova Cosenza
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trapani's form might have worsened.

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Trapani - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cosenza (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cosenza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 31. Pirrello R. 23. Motoc A. 99. Ciotti P. 74. Marcolini D. 20. Carriero G. (C) 8. Celeghin E. 3. Giron M. 10. Canotto L. 39. Grandolfo F.	22. Vettorel T. (G) 7. Cannavo K. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 33. Ferrara A. 28. Kouan C. 77. Langella C. 10. Garritano L. (C) 16. Ricciardi M. 34. Florenzi A. 9. Beretta G.
Substitutes
33. Benedetti A. 11. Ciuferri F. 17. La Sorsa C. 34. Negro S. 30. Nicoli S. 37. Palmieri R. 27. Podrini F. 22. Salamone S. (G) 13. Salines E. 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 9. Vazquez F.	23. Achour S. 3. Barone A. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 6. Dalle Mura C. 11. D'Orazio T. 61. Falbo F. (G) 71. Mazzulla A. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D. 32. Rocco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Beretta G. ⚽,
27', Langella C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Canotto L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Marcolini D. 🟨,
58', Marcolini D. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
62', Motoc A. 🟨,
63', Dametto P. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
77', Canotto L. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
77', Grandolfo F. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
77', Garritano L. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
87', Beretta G. ↓, Achour S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 0.

Trapani has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cosenza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuova Cosenza - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.51%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
07.12.25	Salernitana - Trapani	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Trapani - Monopoli	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Trapani - Foggia	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Potenza - Trapani	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Trapani - Picerno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLW
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
07.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Picerno	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Benevento	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Latina - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.24	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
Italian Serie B
29.06.20	Nuova Cosenza - Trapani	2:2
10.11.19	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	2:2
Coppa Italia
04.08.18	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:2 ET
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
23.05.18	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	0:2
20.05.18	Nuova Cosenza - Trapani	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
06.05.18	Nuova Cosenza - Trapani	4:2

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