Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Avellino		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.75
	1.33	4.5	9	Watch
	1.34	4.67	9.57
	1.39	4.47	8.36
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.31	4.55	8.65	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	4.5 ↑ (4.1)	8.69 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
69%

Draw
20.4%

ACR Messina
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

20.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Avellino - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 9. Patierno C. 10. Russo R.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 21. Salvo G. 6. Manetta M. (C) 98. Rizzo F. 24. Ortisi P. 8. Frisenna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 4. Garofalo V. 28. Pedicillo L. 18. Luciani P. 11. Petrungaro L.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 32. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 50. De Michele P. 35. Gori G. 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 12. Pizzella L. (G) 52. Solaro D. 25. Toscano M. 19. Tribuzzi A.	25. Adragna G. 9. Anatriello G. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 7. Lia D. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 15. Marino A. 77. Morleo U. 17. Re A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, De Cristofaro A. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Enrici P. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Russo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ortisi P. ↓, Mame Ass N. ↑,
46', Anzelmo D. ↓, Morleo U. ↑,
54', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
56', 4 - 0, Russo R. ⚽,
61', Sounas D. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
61', Rigione M. ↓, Cionek T. ↑,
66', Frisenna G. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
67', Frascatore P. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
67', Palmiero L. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
72', Frisenna G. ↓, Di Palma M. ↑,
72', Petrungaro L. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
73', 5 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽,
76', Di Palma M. 🟨,
77', Manetta M. 🟨,
85', Russo R. 🟨,
85', Luciani P. ↓, Re A. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 1.

Avellino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ACR Messina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Avellino is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Avellino to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.24	Juventus U23 - Avellino	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Avellino - Casertana	5:0 ✺
07.10.24	Crotone - Avellino	0:4 ✺
29.09.24	Avellino - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Turris - Avellino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWT
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.24	ACR Messina - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Latina - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.02.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	0:1
01.10.23	ACR Messina - Avellino	1:0
22.01.23	ACR Messina - Avellino	2:0
18.09.22	Avellino - ACR Messina	2:1
20.03.22	Avellino - ACR Messina	1:1
14.11.21	ACR Messina - Avellino	0:1

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