Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 14

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Nyköping		Nacka FC

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.00	7.00
	1.39	4.85	6.1
	1.33	5.22	5.5
	1.32	5.25	7.31	Watch
	1.31	4.95	6.4
	1.26	5.05	9.1
	1.78	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.78)	4.85 ↑ (3.6)	6.39 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyköping
66.5%

Draw
19%

Nacka FC
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

22.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nyköping's performance.

Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacka FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nyköping that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacka FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Nyköping - Nacka FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (1.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Ahmetovic E. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Blom M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 3 - 0, Andbjer R. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Andbjer R. ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, Maache A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Nyköping has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacka has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nyköping may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nyköping is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nyköping won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nyköping won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nykopings	24	13	4	7	39:23	16	43
12	Nacka FC	24	7	3	14	26:45	-19	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
22.06.26	Sleipner - Nyköping	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Nyköping - Smedby	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Nyköping - Fittja	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Nacka FC - Nyköping	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Rågsved - Nyköping	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWW
- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
21.06.26	Nacka FC - Eker Örebro	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Lindö - Nacka FC	4:0 ✺
06.06.26	Nacka FC - Haninge	1:5 ✺
29.05.26	Nacka FC - Nyköping	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Karlslund - Nacka FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
29.05.26	Nacka FC - Nyköping	0:2
08.09.24	Nyköping - Nacka FC	3:2
10.09.23	Nyköping - Nacka FC	3:1
12.05.23	Nacka FC - Nyköping	3:3

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