Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 24

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykøbing Falster)

Referee: Rasmussen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.9
	3.55	3.8	1.89
	3.66	3.87	1.94
				Watch
	3.55	3.84	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.22)	3.75 ↑ (3.59)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
26.3%

Draw
24.8%

HB Køge
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nykøbing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HB Køge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nykøbing - HB Køge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 2.

Recent matches Nykøbing is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Køge has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Køge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Køge will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
31.03.23	Fredericia - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	SønderjyskE - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Nykøbing - Helsingør	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LTWLW
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
02.04.23	HB Køge - Hobro	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	HB Køge - Hillerød	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	4:2 ✺
03.03.23	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
24.02.23	HB Køge - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
11.03.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	4:2
16.08.22	HB Køge - Nykøbing	4:0
Club Friendly
12.02.22	Nykøbing - HB Køge	0:0
Danish 1 Division
16.10.21	HB Køge - Nykøbing	1:0
14.08.21	Nykøbing - HB Køge	3:1
Club Friendly
10.07.21	HB Køge - Nykøbing	3:0
02.02.21	Nykøbing - HB Køge	1:1

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