Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Nzoia United		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.04	1.78
	4.12	3.28	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.87)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nzoia United
22.1%

Draw
28.3%

Posta Rangers
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

27.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nzoia United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nzoia United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nzoia United won 2.

Nzoia United is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Posta Rangers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Posta Rangers is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nzoia United won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Nzoia United won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nzoia United
Kenyan Premier League
21.01.24	Police FC - Nzoia United	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Nzoia United - Shabana	2:5 ✺
06.01.24	Bandari - Nzoia United	1:0 ✺
21.12.23	Kenya CB - Nzoia United	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Nzoia United - Tusker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWL
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
21.01.24	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Nairobi City Stars - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
06.01.24	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
21.12.23	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Posta Rangers - Muhoroni Youth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
06.10.23	Posta Rangers - Nzoia United	2:0
26.04.23	Posta Rangers - Nzoia United	2:3
18.02.23	Nzoia United - Posta Rangers	1:1
13.03.22	Posta Rangers - Nzoia United	0:1
06.11.21	Nzoia United - Posta Rangers	0:3
21.07.21	Posta Rangers - Nzoia United	0:0
19.12.20	Nzoia United - Posta Rangers	1:1

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