Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Nairobi City Stars		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.41	2.85	3
	2.48	2.76	2.95
	2.47	2.86	3	Watch
	2.4	2.92	2.95
	2.22	2.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.54)	2.8 ↑ (2.74)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
37.5%

Draw
32.1%

Posta Rangers
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

33%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

34%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Nairobi City Stars - Posta Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Otieno V. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nairobi City won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Posta Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nairobi City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nairobi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nairobi City Stars - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
15.05.25	Gor Mahia - Nairobi City Stars	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Nairobi City Stars - Mara Sugar	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Muranga Seal - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Shabana	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLLL
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
14.05.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Posta Rangers - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
18.04.25	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
11.01.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	2:1
14.01.24	Nairobi City Stars - Posta Rangers	1:0
02.12.23	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
11.12.22	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	0:0
09.03.22	Nairobi City Stars - Posta Rangers	1:2
30.10.21	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	1:1
08.01.21	Posta Rangers - Nairobi City Stars	1:1

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