Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.23	3	3.15
	2.22	3.05	3.25
	2.31	3.12	3.57
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.13	3.24	3.42	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.45)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	3.32 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
41.8%

Draw
30.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

32.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

32.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	30.8%	11.5%

Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Náutico: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Náutico won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	4:1 ✺
09.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
30.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
25.08.22	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.06.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
11.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
19.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
17.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
06.10.19	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2

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