Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Machado B. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	6.25
	1.48	3.65	6.75
	1.5	3.8	6.2
	1.52	3.95	7.84
	1.5	3.7	7
	1.5	3.94	6.7	Watch
	1.52	3.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	6.76 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
61.8%

Draw
24.5%

Náutico Capibaribe
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

26.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	3.3%	10%

Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.

Vasco is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Vasco have a series of guest games.

In this match Vasco is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Riquelme (Injury)

There will not play in Náutico: Bryan (Injury) Hereda D. (Injury) Leo Passos (Injury) Paraiba L. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
11.09.22	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Brusque - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
31.08.22	Vasco da Gama - Guarani	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	4:0 ✺
19.08.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.06.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	2:3
24.10.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	2:2
18.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1
01.10.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	3:1
14.06.16	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2
20.09.14	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
12.08.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama	✺
Copa do Brasil U20
01.11.26	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	✺
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	✺

Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe