Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.5	2.95	2.85
	2.49	3.07	3.26
	2.3	2.88	2.88
	2.46	3	3.15	Watch
	2.41	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	3 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
38.2%

Draw
30.9%

Criciúma
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 4. Gustavo Henrique 13. Joecio 7. Vitinho 5. Jhony Douglas 6. Alyson Neves 8. Neto Paraiba (C) 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo 22. Vinicius Alves	25. Alisson (G) 27. Claudinho 33. Walisson 3. Rodrigo (C) 22. Marcelo Hermes 5. Leo Costa 42. Miqueias 8. Arilson 7. Fellipe Mateus 11. Fabinho 9. Felipe Vizeu
Substitutes
32. Carlos Eduardo (G) 9. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 19. Fabio Aguiar 3. Gabriel Furtado 14. Leo Silva 21. Luiz Otavio 18. Matheus Martins 16. Para 17. Rafael Vila 12. Thiago Braga (G) 20. Wendell	2. Cristovam 6. Helder Santos 70. Italo Melo 13. Jonathan 12. Kaua Moroso (G) 14. Matheus Mancini 4. Rayan 17. Romulo 99. Tiago Marques 15. Welinton Torrao
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Tencati C.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0.

Sampaio Corrêa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Criciúma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Pimentinha (Injury)

There will not play in Criciúma: Fernando Canesin (Injury) Marquinhos Gabriel (Injury) Tony (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.23	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Chapecoense - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
08.06.23	Criciúma - Juventude	0:1 ✺
02.06.23	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	1:1
07.06.22	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
24.11.18	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
04.08.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:1
23.09.16	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
10.06.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	1:0
15.09.15	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1

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