Match Info

DENMARK: 3RD DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Næsby		Tårnby

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.1
	1.65	3.8	4.35
	1.66	3.8	4.1
	1.75	3.91	3.9
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.64	3.98	4.2
	1.67	3.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.78 ↑ (3.78)	4.15 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
54.2%

Draw
24%

Tårnby
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tårnby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tårnby than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Næsby - Tårnby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Næsby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tårnby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tårnby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Næsby is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Næsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Næsby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
05.11.22	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Næsby - FA 2000	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Vanløse - Næsby	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
18.10.22	Næsby - Nykøbing	1:2 ✺
Danish 3 Division
15.10.22	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLW
- AB Tårnby
Danish 3 Division
12.11.22	Tårnby - Vanløse	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Middelfart - Tårnby	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Tårnby - Dalum IF	5:0 ✺
23.10.22	Young Boys FD - Tårnby	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Tårnby - Middelfart	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
10.09.22	Tårnby - Næsby	1:1
Danish 2 Division - Relegation Group
28.05.16	Næsby - Tårnby	2:0
30.04.16	Tårnby - Næsby	2:0

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