Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Nîmes		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.3
	3.1	3.15	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.28
	3.13	3.3	2.44
	3.1	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3	3.38	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.53)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	2.32 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
30.9%

Draw
28.7%

Auxerre
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.4%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auxerre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auxerre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nîmes - Auxerre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 6 (18.29%), has project points - 54, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Auxerre has the most likely position - 3 (36.33%), has project points - 66, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of promoted (28%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 36, small importance 25, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 0.

Recent matches Nîmes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auxerre in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
12.03.22	Le Havre - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Amiens - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Nîmes - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Caen - Nîmes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
12.03.22	Auxerre - Sochaux	3:2 ✺
05.03.22	Rodez - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
26.02.22	Auxerre - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Niort - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Auxerre - Nancy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.10.21	Auxerre - Nîmes	2:2
12.02.18	Auxerre - Nîmes	0:0
15.09.17	Nîmes - Auxerre	3:0
28.04.17	Nîmes - Auxerre	0:1
29.11.16	Auxerre - Nîmes	2:0
29.01.16	Nîmes - Auxerre	2:1
28.08.15	Auxerre - Nîmes	1:0

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