Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Auxerre		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.8
	1.73	3.4	5	Watch
	1.69	3.45	4.8
	1.73	3.59	5.55
	1.7	3.5	4.8
	1.75	3.44	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	5.01 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
54.8%

Draw
26.6%

Nancy
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

18.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nancy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auxerre - Nancy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Auxerre has the most likely position - 4 (17.36%), has project points - 61, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (73.41%), has project points - 30, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nancy is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auxerre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
05.02.22	Guingamp - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
01.02.22	Auxerre - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
28.01.22	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
08.01.22	Grenoble - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
21.12.21	Auxerre - Le Havre	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
05.02.22	Nancy - Caen	1:1 ✺
01.02.22	Valenciennes - Nancy	6:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Nancy - Amiens	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.01.22	Toulouse - Nancy	4:0 ✺
15.01.22	Nancy - Bastia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.08.21	Nancy - Auxerre	1:4
17.04.21	Auxerre - Nancy	3:2
12.12.20	Nancy - Auxerre	2:2
20.12.19	Auxerre - Nancy	0:0
25.01.19	Nancy - Auxerre	1:0
17.08.18	Auxerre - Nancy	1:0
21.04.18	Nancy - Auxerre	2:1

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