Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Amiens		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	2	3.45	3.45
	1.97	3.54	4.06
	1.95	3.25	3.8
	1.95	3.55	3.8	Watch
	1.96	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.81)	3.45 ↑ (3.45)	3.8 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
48%

Draw
27.2%

Nîmes
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Amiens - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Nîmes will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nîmes: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Amiens has the most likely position - 12 (15.18%), project points - 49, currently - 37, a very small chance of relegated (4%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 18 (16.45%), project points - 40, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (52%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 29, importance 39, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 2.

Amiens is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nîmes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amiens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
01.04.23	Grenoble - Amiens	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Amiens - Rodez	1:3 ✺
14.03.23	Paris FC - Amiens	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Saint-Étienne - Amiens	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Amiens - Pau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
01.04.23	Nîmes - Annecy	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bordeaux - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Nîmes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Bastia - Nîmes	4:2 ✺
25.02.23	Metz - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.10.22	Nîmes - Amiens	2:0
26.02.22	Amiens - Nîmes	3:0
18.09.21	Nîmes - Amiens	3:3
French Ligue 1
18.04.20	Amiens - Nîmes	Canceled
19.10.19	Nîmes - Amiens	1:1
09.03.19	Amiens - Nîmes	2:1
01.12.18	Nîmes - Amiens	3:0

Amiens - Nîmes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide