Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Montpellier		Rennes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.4	2
				Watch
	3.96	3.48	2.04
				Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.95
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.26)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	2 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
24.4%

Draw
28%

Rennes
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.8%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	18.9%	73%

Montpellier - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). Rennes will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 63.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lecomte B. (C) 29. Tchato E. 2. Meite A. 4. Kouyate K. 5. Sagnan M. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 12. Ferri J. 13. Chotard J. 11. Savanier T. 9. Delort A. 10. Khazri W.	1. Samba B. (G) 24. Rouault A. 97. Jacquet J. 5. Brassier L. 22. Assignon L. 17. James J. 38. Cisse D. 8. Fofana S. 3. Truffert A. (C) 10. Blas L. 9. Kalimuendo A.
Substitutes
16. Bertaud D. (G) 46. Cara S. 44. Chennahi T. 22. Fayad K. 47. Mouanga Y. 41. Ndiaye J. 19. Nzingoula R. 18. Pays N. 77. Sacko F.	7. Furuhashi K. 33. Hateboer H. 90. Kone I. 30. Mandanda S. (G) 6. Matusiwa A. 18. Nagida M. 19. Olaigbe K. 28. Sishuba A. 11. Tamari M.
Coaches
Gasset J.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Ferri J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Fofana S. ⚽, Assignon L. (A),
35', Fofana S. 🟨,
40', Kouyate K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Meite A. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
46', Fofana S. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Cisse D. ⚽, James J. (A),
60', Khazri W. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
60', Ferri J. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Assignon L. ⚽, Blas L. (A),
73', Rouault A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
73', James J. ↓, Matusiwa A. ↑,
79', Delort A. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
82', Blas L. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
85', Savanier T. ↓, Cara S. ↑,
88', Kalimuendo A. (Pen),
88', 0 - 4, Kalimuendo A. ⚽,
89', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1.

Montpellier is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rennes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rennes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rennes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Montpellier: Chotard J. (Thigh Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maamma O. (Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury) Sagnan M. (Calf Injury) Sylla I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Knee Injury) Rouault A. (Ankle Injury) Seidu A. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 13:30 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
23.02.25	Nice - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Montpellier - Lyon	1:4 ✺
09.02.25	Strasbourg - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Montpellier - Lens	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Toulouse - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
21.02.25	Rennes - Reims	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Monaco - Rennes	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.09.24	Rennes - Montpellier	3:0
03.02.24	Rennes - Montpellier	2:1
24.09.23	Montpellier - Rennes	0:0
23.04.23	Montpellier - Rennes	1:0
30.10.22	Rennes - Montpellier	3:0
25.02.22	Montpellier - Rennes	2:4
20.11.21	Rennes - Montpellier	2:0

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