Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Nîmes		Lorient

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.15
	3.15	3.35	2.28	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.2
	3.38	3.58	2.24
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.86)	3.41 ↓ (3.44)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
29.3%

Draw
27.8%

Lorient
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

19.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	24.7%	32.5%

Nîmes - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 33 - 42.9%). Lorient will win (votes: 25 - 32.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 24.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nîmes: 31.8% – 54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation)).

Nîmes has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lorient has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lorient could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lorient will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
21.02.21	Nîmes - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Dijon - Nîmes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Nîmes - Nice	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.02.21	Nîmes - Monaco	3:4 ✺
03.02.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
21.02.21	Lorient - Lille	1:4 ✺
14.02.21	Monaco - Lorient	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
09.02.21	Lorient - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.02.21	Lorient - Reims	1:0 ✺
03.02.21	Rennes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.12.20	Lorient - Nîmes	3:0
French Ligue 2
24.04.18	Nîmes - Lorient	1:0
28.11.17	Lorient - Nîmes	1:2

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