Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 33

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		Jõhvi Phoenix

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.05	2.68
	1.89	4.59	2.85
	2.09	4.05	2.68
	2.2	3.8	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)	4.12 ↑ (4)	2.66 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
44%

Draw
22%

Jõhvi Phoenix
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Jõhvi Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Nõmme United U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Ortega R. (G) 7. Leppik R. 32. Piht K. 58. Medvedev A. 19. Tiigiste R. 25. Kabal G. (C) 66. Palu R. 8. Valge A. 77. Tomingas K. 31. Kaspar A. 59. Gusarov A.	66. Globenko A. (G) 71. Minajev M. 2. Krupski A. 18. Kulikov D. (C) 28. Friesen V. 24. Miskov M. 99. Velikanov V. 7. Vrabie A. 33. Tikhomirov A. 9. Tsvibelberg G. 20. Stoyanov B.
Substitutes
88. Manniste M. 12. MIhelson S. 20. Polda P. (G) 18. Saarnak J. 36. Veske S. 17. Zilmer K.	5. Jakovlev M. 13. Karhanin S. 47. Kuzmenkov A. 77. Kuzmenkov N. 55. Savenkov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Palu R. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Tomingas K. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Palu R. ⚽,
72', 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Nõmme United U21 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jõhvi Phoenix is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nõmme United U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 2.3:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.10.25	Tartu Kalev - Nõmme United U21	0:4 ✺
12.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Nõmme United U21	1:5 ✺
23.09.25	Nõmme United U21 - Paide U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWW
- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.10.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Läänemaa Haapsalu	8:1 ✺
27.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
04.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	3:2
28.05.25	Nõmme United U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:2
26.04.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	5:2

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