Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Pankritio Stadium (Heraklion)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Mix
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	RTL+, RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max
Japan	Wowow Live
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay
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Paraguay	ESPN 4
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Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter


	OFI		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	9	5.75	1.3
	8.00	5.75	1.33
	10	5.8	1.3
	9.56	6	1.32
	7.9	5.5	1.35	Watch
	9.45	5.9	1.29
	9.8	6.03	1.31
	9.2	6.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.11 ↑ (7.14)	5.89 ↑ (4.75)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
10.5%

Draw
16.3%

Hoffenheim
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

20.1%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

19.4%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	6.1%	78.8%

OFI - Hoffenheim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.44) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.42) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

AH +1.5 - OFI Crete (2.00) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hoffenheim (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Christogeorgos N. (G) 5. Kostoulas K. 15. Poungouras A. 2. Krizmanic K. 24. Dickmann L. 14. Androutsos A. (C) 41. Bouchalakis A. 3. Athanasiou N. 11. Fountas T. 19. Kodro K. 10. Cantalapiedra A.	1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 39. Rots M. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 8. Wimmer P. 17. De Cat N. 10. Hlozek A. 19. Lemperle T.
Substitutes
21. Apostolakis I. 17. Gonzalez B. 8. Kanellopoulos G. 6. Karachalios Z. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 90. Kenourgiakis P. 9. Leya Iseka A. 1. Lilo K. (G) 18. Nuss T. 30. Romano T. 16. Sielis C. 46. Theodosoulakis I.	11. Asllani F. 20. Conte B. 14. Daghim A. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 27. Kramaric A. 32. Lenz C. 28. Machida K. 9. Moerstedt M. 36. Petersson L. (G) 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A.
Coaches
Kontis C.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Coufal V. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽, Kodro K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hajdari A. ↓, Machida K. ↑,
53', De Cat N. 🟨,
56', Androutsos A. 🟨,
60', Wimmer P. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
60', De Cat N. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
60', Fountas T. ↓, Nuss T. ↑,
63', Machida K. 🟨,
64', Cantalapiedra A. 🟨,
67', Rots M. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
69', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Kanellopoulos G. ↑,
69', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
75', Hlozek A. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,
80', Dickmann L. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
80', Kodro K. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Kanellopoulos G. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),

Preview

OFI is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hoffenheim has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hoffenheim is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in OFI: Marinakis N. (Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Engelns L. (Off the roster)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Coufal V. (Knock) Prass A. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Hoffenheim: 3.81% OFI Crete: 0.35%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
29	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
12.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
09.09.26	OFI - Nestos Chrysoupoli	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
06.09.26	OFI - AE Kifisia	2:0 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	PAOK - OFI	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Aris - OFI	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WWWTL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
12.09.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWT

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