Match Info

GREECE: Super League - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium (Heraklion)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1, SKAI
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	OFI		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.1
	1.82	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.5	4.17
	1.87	3.4	4.75
	1.82	3.6	4.19	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.86	3.58	4.25	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.54 ↑ (3.43)	4.27 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
51.4%

Draw
26.6%

Athens Kallithea
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	33.3%	9.5%

OFI - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OFI: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Naumov D. (G) 17. Gonzalez B. 30. Silva J. 24. Lampropoulos V. 12. Chatzitheodoridis I. 25. Bainovic F. 88. Bakic M. 27. Shengelia L. 11. Fountas T. 18. Nuss T. 9. Salcedo E.	13. Barragan B. (G) 17. Ndiaye M. 58. Pasalidis T. 6. Motoc A. 14. Manthatis G. 8. Matilla J. 26. Mercati A. 5. Hanousek M. 28. Valbuena M. 7. Vasilogiannis A. 25. Loukinas G.
Substitutes
99. Abanda L. 45. Apostolakis G. 31. Christogeorgos N. (G) 22. Christopoulos G. 29. Jung A. 6. Karachalios Z. 10. Neira J. 7. Riera A. 46. Theodosoulakis G.	10. Demethryus 30. Diba S. 24. Gelios I. (G) 18. Giani E. 11. Kainourgios N. 19. Marotta N. 23. Soiri P. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 9. Uldrikis R.
Coaches
Rastavac M.	Donati M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Bainovic F. ↓, Karachalios Z. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Salcedo E. (Pen),
20', Nuss T. 🟨,
28', Mercati A. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Shengelia L. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Valbuena M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
46', Hanousek M. ↓, Kainourgios N. ↑,
46', Salcedo E. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Loukinas G. ⚽, Giani E. (A),
67', Chatzitheodoridis I. 🟨,
68', Shengelia L. ↓, Apostolakis G. ↑,
69', Fountas T. ↓, Neira J. ↑,
76', Loukinas G. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
76', Vasilogiannis A. ↓, Demethryus ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Kainourgios N. ⚽, Matilla J. (A),
85', Nuss T. ↓, Riera A. ↑,
88', Manthatis G. ↓, Soiri P. ↑,
90+3', Giani E. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches OFI won 4.

Recent matches OFI is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athens Kallithea has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

OFI could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Athens Kallithea have a series of home games.

OFI will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in OFI: Bressan (Injury) Koutsoupias F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Marotta N. (Injury) Sardelis G. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches OFI won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams OFI won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
04.11.24	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
30.10.24	OFI - Volos	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
27.10.24	PAOK - OFI	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	OFI - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Panserraikos - OFI	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 LWWLW
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
02.11.24	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
30.10.24	Athens Kallithea - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
27.10.24	Athens Kallithea - Atromitos Athens	0:3 ✺
20.10.24	Aris - Athens Kallithea	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Athens Kallithea - Asteras Tripolis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.24	OFI - Athens Kallithea	0:0
Greek Football League
17.03.18	Athens Kallithea - OFI	1:3
25.11.17	OFI - Athens Kallithea	2:1
26.03.17	OFI - Athens Kallithea	1:0
19.12.16	Athens Kallithea - OFI	1:2
Greek Cup
31.10.13	OFI - Athens Kallithea	1:1

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