The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aris 57.4%
Draw 25.1%
Athens Kallithea 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
24.5%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
23.6%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.2%
18.2%
13.6%
Aris - Athens Kallithea Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 48.7% โ 87.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Julian (G) 22. Mallo H. 3. Fabiano 14. Brabec J. 27. Juankar 5. Cifuentes J. 8. Monchu 99. Diandy C. 6. Molo 93. Suleymanov S. 80. Moron L.
13. Barragan B. (G) 6. Motoc A. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 58. Pasalidis T. 5. Hanousek M. 8. Matilla J. 26. Mercati A. 23. Soiri P. 10. Demethryus 18. Giani E. 9. Uldrikis R.
Substitutes
16. Darida V. 10. Fetfatzidis G. 17. Frydek M. 33. Montoya M. 19. Quaison R. 92. Rose L. 20. Sidklev F. (G) 7. Sisto P. 4. Velez F.
30. Diba S. 24. Gelios I. (G) 25. Loukinas G. 2. Mejias J. 17. Ndiaye M. 3. Nikolic N. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 28. Valbuena M. 7. Vasilogiannis A.
Coaches
Mantzios A.
Donati M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Pasalidis T. 🟨,
12', Isimat-Mirin N. 🟨,
34', Pasalidis T. 🟨,
38', Matilla J. 🟨,
40', Uldrikis R. ↓, Mejias J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Matilla J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
56', Monchu 🟨,
59', Suleymanov S. ↓, Fetfatzidis G. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Barragan B. (Own goal),
73', Mercati A. ↓, Valbuena M. ↑,
73', Demethryus ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
75', Cifuentes J. ↓, Darida V. ↑,
75', Diandy C. ↓, Sisto P. ↑,
85', Soiri P. ↓, Nikolic N. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Molo ⚽, Moron L. (A),
89', Molo ↓, Velez F. ↑,
89', Moron L. ↓, Quaison R. ↑,
90+3', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
Aris is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Athens Kallithea is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Aris is a favorite.
There will not play in Aris: Jules J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Marotta N.
(Injury)
Mejias J.
(Collarbone injury)
Moutinho T.
(Red Card)
Pasalidis T.
(Injury)
Sardelis G.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Aris to win the game is with odds 1.59.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Aris won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).