Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Verso M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.85
	2.22	3.55	2.78
	2.4	3.86	2.77
	2.19	3.86	2.83	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.36	3.56	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	3.59 (3.59)	2.79 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
41.1%

Draw
25.7%

Oakland Roots
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Loudoun United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Loudoun United - Oakland Roots Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Loudoun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beaudry A. (G) 21. Akinyode B. 51. Essengue A. 2. Adnan N. 6. Awuah K. 14. Souper A. 8. Murphy J. (C) 7. Niyongabire P. 19. Aman R. 9. Ordonez A. 10. Santos P.	33. Spiegel R. (G) 27. Jacquesson B. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 11. de Vicente J. 17. Tingey K. 4. McCabe T. (C) 6. Byaruhanga B. 7. Prentice W. 99. Trejo D. 9. Wilson P.
Substitutes
41. Bandre E. (G) 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 39. Marcos Dias 5. Mazzaferro S. 16. Panayotou J. 33. Piras L.	77. Bettache F. 8. Elmasnaouy A. 12. Gibson T. 19. Kiil J. 1. McIntosh K. (G) 44. Roberson B. 10. Valot F.
Coaches
Limbrick A.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Aman R. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Jacquesson B. ⚽, de Vicente J. (A),
35', Souper A. 🟨,
45+1', Essengue A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Trejo D. ↓, Valot F. ↑,
61', McCabe T. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Santos P. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Santos P. 🟨,
75', Souper A. ↓, Mazzaferro S. ↑,
75', Tingey K. ↓, Bettache F. ↑,
75', Jacquesson B. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
75', Byaruhanga B. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
77', Murphy J. 🟨,
81', Beaudry A. 🟨,
86', Murphy J. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
88', Aman R. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Wilson P. ⚽, Bettache F. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Loudoun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Oakland Roots has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Loudoun could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Cup
25.04.26	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Loudoun United - Louisville City	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTL
- Oakland Roots
USL Cup
25.04.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
22.04.26	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oakland Roots - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.07.25	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	0:2
10.08.24	Oakland Roots - Loudoun United	3:1
23.04.23	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	2:0
16.04.22	Oakland Roots - Loudoun United	4:1

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