Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Monterey Bay		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.2	2.32
	2.77	3.29	2.34
	2.77	3.44	2.3	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.3
	2.81	3.22	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.88)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
32.8%

Draw
27.9%

Oakland Roots
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

28.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado F. (G) 6. Malesevic L. 5. Gordon N. (C) 25. Egwu K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 17. Glasgow O. 88. Lletget S. 19. Nadje C. 20. Paul I.	1. McIntosh K. (G) 12. Gibson T. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 11. de Vicente J. 27. Jacquesson B. 8. Elmasnaouy A. 4. McCabe T. (C) 10. Valot F. 99. Trejo D. 19. Kiil J.
Substitutes
29. Anderson D. 18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 31. Dalton C. (G) 22. Garcia J. 11. Leggett W. 7. Rebollar A. 2. Talabi A.	77. Bettache F. 6. Byaruhanga B. 42. Martinez Sorrosa E. 7. Prentice W. 44. Roberson B. 59. Rosic L. 33. Spiegel R. (G) 17. Tingey K. 9. Wilson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Nakamura R. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Kiil J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Nadje C. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Paul I. ⚽, Glasgow O. (A),
78', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
90+3', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Paul I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, de Vicente J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Leggett W. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wilson P. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Glasgow O. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Prentice W. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Belmar J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tingey K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Blancas E. (Penalty Awarded),
5, McCabe T. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Gordon N. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Elmasnaouy A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.

Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oakland Roots may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.

Oakland Roots is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
18.04.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
22.04.26	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oakland Roots - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.03.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	0:1
30.08.25	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	1:0
USL Cup
28.06.25	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	2:1
USL Championship
15.03.25	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	3:2
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1
06.04.24	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	0:1
23.09.23	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	2:2

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