The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oakland Roots 37.5%
Draw 29.2%
Tulsa 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
29.6%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
30%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+2%)
Oakland Roots - Tulsa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Spiegel R. (G) 11. de Vicente J. 34. Edwards M. 5. Garcia D. 23. Bravo J. 4. McCabe T. (C) 6. Byaruhanga B. 27. Jacquesson B. 99. Trejo D. 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P.
28. Jacomen D. (G) 47. St.Clair H. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 15. Batista L. 12. Stauffer L. 8. Webber J. 4. Pierre D. 13. Kocevski J. 10. Elmedkhar K. 7. Cabral R. 2. Damm O.
Substitutes
77. Bettache F. 57. Caracheo A. (G) 8. Elmasnaouy A. 15. Hackshaw N. 19. Kiil J. 22. Maldonado J. 1. McIntosh K. (G) 44. Roberson B. 10. Valot F.
11. Bruno Lapa 25. Clarke A. 98. Ian 22. Lukic S. 44. Somersall R. 17. Sparks B. 1. Tambakis A. (G)
Coaches
Martin R.
Spencer L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Prentice W. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
13', Bravo J. ↓, Hackshaw N. ↑,
27', Hackshaw N. 🟨,
28', Stauffer L. 🟨,
39', Garcia D. ↓, Bettache F. ↑,
45+4', Hackshaw N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', St.Clair H. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
61', Trejo D. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
61', Jacquesson B. ↓, Valot F. ↑,
64', Stauffer L. ↓, Sparks B. ↑,
64', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Bruno Lapa ↑,
68', Cissoko A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Sparks B. ⚽, Damm O. (A),
79', Webber J. ↓, Somersall R. ↑,
87', Lukic S. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
90+7', Clarke A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).