Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Odd		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2	Watch
	3.2	3.55	2.08	Watch
	3.37	3.66	2.12
	3.23	3.23	2.22	Watch
	3.24	3.56	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.92)	3.52 ↓ (3.9)	2.11 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
28.6%

Draw
26.7%

Aalesunds
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

24.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odd than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Odd - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Aalesunds will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Odd (votes: 1 - 50%). Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen A. (G) 13. Skjeldal S. 21. Hagen S. (C) 5. Bonnesen H. 4. Walstad N. 7. Jorgensen F. 36. Salmon J. 27. Adamu M. 11. Hagen O. 9. Djantou I. 29. Zekhnini R.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 16. Orsahl J. 21. Christensen M. 11. Johannsson D. 66. Seehusen J. 9. Ngongo P. (C) 17. Myrlid E.
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 19. Abdulateef A. 3. Baccay J. 12. Hansen S. (G) 20. Hardarson H. 23. Kojo N. 2. Sjol J. 6. Svendsen T.	2. Andresen M. 3. Gudmundsson O. 6. Hammer H. 19. Heiselberg F. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H.
Coaches
Frandsen P.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Christensen M. 🟨,
29', Skuseth N. 🟨,
33', Adamu M. 🟨,
35', Christensen M. 🟨,
41', Myrlid E. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salmon J. ↓, Svendsen T. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Svendsen T. ⚽, Zekhnini R. (A),
70', Skuseth N. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
70', Orsahl J. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
77', Walstad N. 🟨,
78', Hagen O. ↓, Abdulateef A. ↑,
79', Jorgensen F. ↓, Kojo N. ↑,
85', Seehusen J. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
85', Johannsson D. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
87', Abdulateef A. 🟨,
89', Zekhnini R. ↓, Baccay J. ↑,
90+3', Abdulateef A. ↓, Aas S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Odd won 2.

Odd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aalesunds is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aalesunds might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Odd won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:28. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Odd won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:12. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian NM Cup
25.09.25	Odd - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Åsane - Odd	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Odd - Hødd	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Lyn - Odd	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Strømmen - Odd	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLTW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Lysekloster - Aalesunds	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Aalesunds - Skeid	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Aalesunds - Egersund	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Stjørdals-Blink - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Aalesunds - Odd	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.12.23	Odd - Aalesunds	4:1
16.07.23	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3
28.08.22	Aalesunds - Odd	1:1
23.04.22	Odd - Aalesunds	2:3
25.10.20	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3
25.07.20	Odd - Aalesunds	3:2

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