Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Al Fahad A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Skeid

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	8
	1.26	5.9	9.2
	1.28	5.99	9.73
	1.10	8.55	22.43	Watch
	1.27	5.95	9.45
	1.28	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)	6.23 ↑ (5)	11.05 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
76.2%

Draw
15.2%

Skeid
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.4%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

17.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds's performance.

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skeid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aalesunds - Skeid Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 66. Seehusen J. 21. Christensen M. 8. Melland H. 16. Orsahl J. 17. Myrlid E. 9. Ngongo P. (C)	30. Bajrami A. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 33. Stensland F. 4. Steiring P. (C) 23. Akinyemi A. 14. Toure O. 10. Andersen M. 15. Hadzic A. 21. Neto L. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 45. Stensrud A.
Substitutes
2. Andresen M. 29. Boe J. 23. Froysa E. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K.	1. Andersen M. (G) 2. Ba B. 11. Bojang S. 7. Fiksdal J. 3. Flo F. 17. Saad Y. 29. Sunday G.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Rislaa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Rekdal K. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Myrlid E. ⚽, Melland H. (A),
29', Toure O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', Toure O. ↓, Ba B. ↑,
64', Seehusen J. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
64', Myrlid E. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
64', Orsahl J. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
71', Ba B. 🟨,
73', Stensland F. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
83', Neto L. ↓, Flo F. ↑,
83', Akinyemi A. ↓, Bojang S. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Melland H. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Lonebu K. ⚽, Andresen M. (A),
90+1', Ngongo P. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
90+1', Nesso K. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Aalesunds has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Skeid is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Aalesunds is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.25	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Aalesunds - Egersund	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Stjørdals-Blink - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Start - Aalesunds	3:1 ✺
18.08.25	Aalesunds - Ranheim	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.09.25	Skeid - Moss	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Skeid - Lyn	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Hødd - Skeid	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Asker Fotball - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Skeid - Aalesunds	1:1
03.08.19	Skeid - Aalesunds	0:1
22.04.19	Aalesunds - Skeid	4:2

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