Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Itaka Arena (Opole)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Odra Opole		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.98
	2.33	3.4	3.13
	2.27	3.4	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.22	3.14	3.02
	2.08	3.03	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)	3.24 ↑ (3.03)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
41.3%

Draw
28.3%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Odra Opole - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odra Opole: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Haluch A. (G) 3. Piroch J. 6. Pochciol J. 47. Bialowas M. 22. Spychala M. (C) 99. Sukiennicki O. 20. Tront D. 25. Palacz K. 7. Milos M. 77. Szklinski S. 32. Feliks M.	1. Kieszek P. (G) 52. Olewinski O. 16. Gajgier A. 6. Farbiszewski B. 27. Konstantyn J. 21. Los K. 99. Noiszewski K. 13. Lis J. 10. Jaron D. 9. Gieroba S. 7. Jedrasik J.
Substitutes
4. Chrzanowski A. 26. Kendzia F. 33. Kupczyk F. 18. Mida S. 11. Perez J. 14. Prikryl T. 19. Przybylko K. 8. Ramos L. 23. Wojcik A. (G)	23. Adamczyk H. 30. Barnowski D. 25. Glacel M. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 8. Gulczynski G. 11. Kargulewicz K. 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 20. Wypart O.
Coaches
Plewnia P.	Stokowiec P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Tront D. ⚽,
22', Pochciol J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Jaron D. ↓, Adamczyk H. ↑,
53', Los K. 🟨,
57', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
58', Jedrasik J. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
58', Konstantyn J. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Gieroba S. ⚽, Adamczyk H. (A),
64', Pochciol J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
71', Bialowas M. ↓, Mida S. ↑,
74', Lis J. ↓, Glogowski K. ↑,
77', Tront D. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
77', Feliks M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
80', Olewinski O. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Ramos L. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Gajgier A. (Own goal),
90+4', Niewiadomski J. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Odra Opole has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Odra Opole could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Odra Opole won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Odra Opole: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7:9	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
03.05.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Odra Opole - Polonia Bytom	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Odra Opole - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Stal Rzeszów - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTWW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
07.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	1:4 ✺
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Odra Opole	2:1

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