Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 18

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija (Ogre)


	Ogre United		Rīgas FS 2

	1	X	2
	9.9	6.04	1.22
	9.25	6.15	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.58 ↑ (6.24)	6.1 ↑ (5)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre United
9.6%

Draw
15%

Rīgas FS 2
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Rīgas FS 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rīgas FS 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rīgas FS 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ogre United - Rīgas FS 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Perkons E. (G) 30. Kalnins M. 44. Kontrims T. 29. Paviska L. 88. Salins D. 93. Siksalietis R. 8. Skujins R. 2. Sparans S. 22. Sprukulis K. 9. Varpa R. 23. Veckagans M. (C)	1. Kirjanovs D. (G) 2. Boroviks S. 17. Deruzinskis R. 21. Ilenans K. 29. Jacenkovs R. 11. Juhnevics A. 7. Minins J. 10. Nagasawa M. 4. Oss M. (C) 3. Rudens K. 99. Sylla M.
Substitutes
80. Afanasjevs R. 32. Dalbins L. R. (G) 96. Jekabsons J. 14. Juhnovics R. 87. Kondratjevs A. 33. Nelsons A. 27. Rubezis N. 6. Sidrevics E. 21. Tserr A.	90. Gandzs L. 77. Kirsanovs K. 86. Kiuskins J. 19. Majorovs I. 20. Poldseps R. 81. Sedols D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Deruzinskis R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Skujins R. ↓, Rubezis N. ↑,
53', Varpa R. ↓, Jekabsons J. ↑,
60', Nagasawa M. ↓, Gandzs L. ↑,
62', Kontrims T. ↓, Juhnovics R. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Kalnins M. ⚽,
69', Boroviks S. ↓, Majorovs I. ↑,
71', Perkons E. 🟨,
71', Siksalietis R. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Minins J. ⚽,
74', Sylla M. ↓, Kiuskins J. ↑,
77', Veckagans M. ↓, Tserr A. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
23.08.24	Leevon PPK - Ogre United	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	JDFS Alberts - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Skanstes - Ogre United	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Ogre United - Riga 2	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Ogre United - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLTT
- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
24.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Olaine	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Valmiera 2	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Rīgas FS 2 - JFK Ventspils	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
04.05.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United	5:0

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