Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 12

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Rīgas Hanzas vidusskolas stadions (Riga)


	Skanstes		Ogre United

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.4
	2.38	3.7	2.38	Watch
				Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.46	3.54	2.38
	2.32	3.52	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	2.44 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skanstes
37.6%

Draw
25.6%

Ogre United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skanstes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skanstes's form might have worsened.

Ogre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skanstes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Skanstes - Ogre United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ogre United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Plavins K. (G) 11. Bekeris O. 17. Belickis G. 2. Berzins M. 15. Bomis R. 6. Kellers O. (C) 18. Kletskiy M. 4. Lawal W. O. 20. Likas O. 7. Livcans L. 19. Palameiks P.	20. Biscuhis K. (G) 5. Hayashi K. 19. Jamonts K. 10. Kalnins M. (C) 7. Kumakura K. 4. Mamich D. 3. Marusiy T. 16. Mashchenko V. 9. Silagailis H. 27. Veckagans M. 2. Ziemelis R.
Substitutes
5. Gulbis H. 13. Jekabsons K. 24. Krumins K. (G) 8. Linavskis R. 14. Ostapovs M. 12. Tolmanis T. (G)	88. Abramenko T. 13. Gulbis K. 14. Juhnovics R. 17. Kivkucans B. 15. Licis K. 1. Perkons E. (G) 21. Salins D. 8. Skujins R. 22. Sprukulis K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bekeris O. ⚽,
38', Mashchenko V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Silagailis H. ⚽,
57', Berzins M. ↓, Linavskis R. ↑,
61', Livcans L. ↓, Gulbis H. ↑,
65', Bomis R. 🟨,
72', Mashchenko V. ↓, Salins D. ↑,
72', Jamonts K. ↓, Juhnovics R. ↑,
79', Silagailis H. ↓, Licis K. ↑,
87', Veckagans M. ↓, Sprukulis K. ↑,
88', Lawal W. O. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Gulbis H. ⚽,
90+1', Kletskiy M. ↓, Jekabsons K. ↑,
90+1', Gulbis H. ↓, Ostapovs M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Skanstes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skanstes SK
Latvian 1 Liga
28.06.25	JFK Ventspils - Skanstes	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.25	Skanstes - JDFS Alberts	1:2 ET ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.25	Skanstes - Olaine	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Līvāni - Skanstes	0:5 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
23.05.25	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL
- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
28.06.25	Ogre United - Riga 2	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	JDFS Alberts - Ogre United	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Valmiera - Ogre United	4:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
18.05.25	Smiltene - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
10.08.24	Skanstes - Ogre United	1:0
14.04.24	Ogre United - Skanstes	1:1

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