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Current Win Probability
Urawa Red Diamonds 31.2%
Draw 27.3%
Kashiwa Reysol 41.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.2%
26.1%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
26.4%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 88. Naganuma Y. 25. Yasui K. 22. Shibato K. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 45. Onaiwu A.
25. Kojima R. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. (C) 2. Mitsumaru H. 24. Kubo T. 39. Nakagawa N. 40. Harakawa R. 87. Yamauchi H. 8. Koizumi Y. 15. Komi Y. 9. Hosoya M.
Substitutes
3. Danilo Boza 39. Hayakawa J. 36. Hidano R. 9. Kiese I. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 14. Sekine T. 27. Teruuchi T.
18. Kakita Y. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 38. Shimano R. 26. Sugioka D. 28. Toshima S. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 16. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Skorza M.
Rodriguez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Koizumi Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Yasui K. ⚽,
60', Harakawa R. ↓, Shimano R. ↑,
60', Baba S. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Segawa Y. ⚽, Mitsumaru H. (A),
68', Onaiwu A. ↓, Hidano R. ↑,
68', Yasui K. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
74', Nakagawa N. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
83', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
84', Matheus Savio ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
84', Kaneko T. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
90', Ishihara H. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Komi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kiese I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamauchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hayakawa J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Toshima S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Miyamoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Segawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashiwa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Komori H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Kashiwa Reysol
10
7
0
3
22:17
5
21
9
Urawa Reds
10
5
0
5
17:21
-4
15
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Kashiwa Reysol: 12.92% Urawa Reds: 2.98%
Last Results with these Odds
Kashiwa Reysol - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Nishikawa S. (G) 
Matheus Savio 
Kiese I. 
Skorza M. 
Rodriguez R. 
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