Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.55	2.35
	3.05	3.52	2.27	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3	3.38	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.85)	3.43 ↓ (3.62)	2.26 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
31.2%

Draw
27.3%

Kashiwa Reysol
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 88. Naganuma Y. 25. Yasui K. 22. Shibato K. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 45. Onaiwu A.	25. Kojima R. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. (C) 2. Mitsumaru H. 24. Kubo T. 39. Nakagawa N. 40. Harakawa R. 87. Yamauchi H. 8. Koizumi Y. 15. Komi Y. 9. Hosoya M.
Substitutes
3. Danilo Boza 39. Hayakawa J. 36. Hidano R. 9. Kiese I. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 14. Sekine T. 27. Teruuchi T.	18. Kakita Y. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 38. Shimano R. 26. Sugioka D. 28. Toshima S. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 16. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Koizumi Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Yasui K. ⚽,
60', Harakawa R. ↓, Shimano R. ↑,
60', Baba S. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Segawa Y. ⚽, Mitsumaru H. (A),
68', Onaiwu A. ↓, Hidano R. ↑,
68', Yasui K. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
74', Nakagawa N. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
83', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
84', Matheus Savio ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
84', Kaneko T. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
90', Ishihara H. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Komi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kiese I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yamauchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hayakawa J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Toshima S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Miyamoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Segawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.

Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kashiwa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Urawa: Komori H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.22% Urawa Reds: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Kashiwa Reysol - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.08.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:2
02.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2
23.10.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0
12.04.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
20.10.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0
31.03.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:3
10.09.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	4:1

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide