Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kawasaki Frontale		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.20	6.00	Watch
	1.53	4.33	5.25
	1.56	4.10	4.80	Watch
	1.57	4.65	5.79
	1.6	4.36	5.07	Watch
	1.54	4.45	5.60
	1.52	4.22	6.34	Watch
	1.52	4.40	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	4.34 ↑ (4.24)	5.56 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
61.3%

Draw
21.8%

JEF United Chiba
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 4. Pedro Romano 3. Taniguchi H. 5. Sasaki A. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Romanic L.	19. Suarez J. (G) 22. Iida T. 66. Hall D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 7. Tanaka K. 25. Matheus Indio 4. Taguchi T. (C) 8. Tsukui T. 20. Ishikawa D. 99. Erison
Substitutes
97. Derik Lacerda 36. Homma R. 19. Kawahara S. 18. Konno K. 28. Maruyama Y. 2. Matsunagane Y. 13. Miura S. 16. Ozeki Y. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G)	39. Ishio R. 55. Kida H. 3. Kuboniwa R. 45. Rocha L. 18. Sugiyama N. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 14. Tsubaki N. 29. Yamura K. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
6', Romanic L. ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
10', 1 - 0, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
13', Ito T. 🟨,
24', Hidaka M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Tanaka K. ⚽,
33', Erison 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Marcinho (A),
38', 2 - 2, Tanaka K. ⚽, Ishikawa D. (A),
42', 3 - 2, Marcinho ⚽, Derik Lacerda (A),
45+3', 4 - 2, Wakizaka Y. ⚽, Derik Lacerda (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Marcinho ↓, Miura S. ↑,
57', Derik Lacerda ↓, Homma R. ↑,
58', Matheus Indio 🟨,
64', Tanaka K. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
64', Taguchi T. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
79', Erison ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
79', Iida T. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
79', Tsukui T. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
83', Yamahara R. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
83', Pedro Romano ↓, Maruyama Y. ↑,
87', Homma R. 🟨,
90+2', Kida H. 🟨,

Preview

JEF United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Ienaga A. (Calf Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in JEF United: Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTTL
- JEF United Chiba
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.04.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	2:1
14.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 penalties
Japan Emperors Cup
21.07.21	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	2:1 penalties
22.09.16	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	4:1 ET

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