Match Info

J1 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3.02	3.26	2.26	Watch
	3.08	3.32	2.36	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.02	3.32	2.38	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
30.6%

Draw
28.7%

Kawasaki Frontale
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Shimizu S Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oki Y. (G) 5. Kitazume K. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 3. Takahashi Y. 28. Yoshida Y. 36. Uno Z. 98. Matheus Bueno 19. Matsuzaki K. 33. Inui T. 21. Yajima S. 23. Kitagawa K. (C)	98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 19. Kawahara S. 6. Yamamoto Y. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Erison
Substitutes
7. Capixaba 99. Douglas Tanque 41. Haneda K. 4. Hasukawa S. 11. Nakahara H. 55. Nishihara M. 47. Shimamoto Y. 16. Umeda T. (G) 17. Yumiba M.	44. Haydar C. 17. Ito T. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 11. Kobayashi Y. 7. Kurumaya S. 16. Ozeki Y. 18. Segawa Y. 31. van Wermeskerken S. 20. Yamada S.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
42', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
45', Takai K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Yajima S. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Kitagawa K. (Pen),
64', Ienaga A. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Yamamoto Y. ⚽, Miura S. (A),
73', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
75', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
77', Erison ↓, Ito T. ↑,
84', Kitazume K. 🟥,
85', Marcinho ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
85', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
88', Kitagawa K. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
88', Inui T. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
88', Yoshida Y. ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
90+8', Yamada S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1.

Recent matches Shimizu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kawasaki is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.

Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Inactive) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Tachibanada K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Haydar C. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 22:57 (average 1.1:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1.2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Yokohama FC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Sagamihara - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWW
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
09.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3 ✺
06.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2 ✺
02.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	6:0
08.03.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	3:2
Japan J1 League
08.10.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2
07.05.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2
24.10.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
18.08.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
Japan J1 League
17.07.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2

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