Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 24

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.73
	4.33	3.5	1.78	Watch
	4.87	3.66	1.82
	4.34	3.53	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	4.35	3.62	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (4.64)	3.51 ↓ (3.71)	1.77 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
21.2%

Draw
26.4%

Shimizu S-Pulse
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Oita Trinita - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oita Trinita: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 31. Sousa Pereira M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 25. Ando T. 19. Kozakai A. 44. Yoshida M. 10. Nomura N. 5. Nakagawa H. 29. Utsumoto S. 11. Watanabe A. 93. Nagasawa S.	57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 3. Takahashi Y. 32. Takagi S. 14. Yamahara R. 13. Miyamoto K. 71. Nakamura R. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K.
Substitutes
21. Ayukawa S. 3. Derlan 13. Isa K. 27. Matsuo Y. 24. Nishikawa K. (G) 16. Shige T. 26. Yasuda K.	9. Aziz 5. Kitazume K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 41. Shirasaki R. 99. Tanque D. 21. Yajima S. 28. Yoshida Y.
Coaches
Katanosaka T.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Lucas Braga ⚽, Kitagawa K. (A),
36', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Watanabe A. ↓, Ayukawa S. ↑,
46', Utsumoto S. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
58', Kozakai A. ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
73', Lucas Braga ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
73', Carlinhos ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
74', Nagasawa S. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
74', Nakagawa H. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
83', Yamahara R. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
83', Kitagawa K. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Inui T. ⚽, Kitazume K. (A),
90+2', Inui T. ↓, Aziz ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Oita Trinita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Oita Trinita	1:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Kagoshima United - Oita Trinita	3:0 ✺
16.06.24	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTLL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
23.06.24	Blaublitz Akita - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
16.06.24	Ehime - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	2:0
09.07.23	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2
12.03.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	0:0
Japan J1 League
04.07.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	1:0
02.05.21	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0
03.10.20	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
26.07.20	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	4:2

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